Republican vice presidential nominee Mike Pence made an appearance on the couch of “Fox & Friends” Friday morning, and the conversation included the latest polls that have shown Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton with a lead over GOP nominee Donald Trump.
Pence took exception to the recent polls, suggesting that the pollsters were “missing something” as they gathered their data, according to Breitbart.
Regarding the latest Fox poll that had Clinton leading Trump 45-38 percent, Pence stated, “I honestly think that there’s something missing in the polling these days.”
Host Brian Kileade prodded for elaboration, to which Pence replied, “I think Donald Trump has made a connection to the frustrations and aspirations of everyday Americans like no one in my lifetime has since Ronald Reagan.”
— FOX & Friends (@foxandfriends) October 14, 2016
“When you see against this avalanche, present company excepted here at Fox News, but this avalanche of negative media coverage that goes chasing after every potential negative story about Donald Trump, still you see ten of thousands of people coming out at rallies,” he added. “There’s a determination out there across the country to change the direction of this nation.”
Pence was correct that something has been “missing” from the polls, but it isn’t particularly easy to put a finger on exactly what that is.
To be sure, adequate numbers of Republican and independent voters are being left out of many of the polls, as the internal polling data routinely reveal disproportionate numbers of Democrats sampled versus Republican or unaffiliated voters, which obviously would skew the results more in favor of Clinton. Although pollsters usually attempt to correct for such imbalances, that’s obviously an inexact science.
It is also difficult for pollsters to effectively measure the “enthusiasm gap,” something Pence alluded to, though it is readily apparent to everyone that Trump’s supporters are much more excited about electing their candidate than Clinton supporters are. Just compare attendance at their respective rallies.
Furthermore, a significant portion of Trump’s support is believed to come from people who have either never voted before or haven’t voted in several cycles. These people are rarely if ever sampled by pollsters, who prefer instead to stick with “likely voters” who they know have voted recently.
Regardless, the polls will continue to shift as we get closer to Election Day, hopefully becoming more accurate and providing a better representation of the electorate along the way.
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